Muhammad Naimov vs. Mairon Santos

Catchweight (148 lb)UFC 323 · Dec 6, 2025, 6:00 PM EST

Early Prelims

Prediction & odds

Result

Mairon Santos

def. Muhammad Naimov by TKO (Punches), round 3, 0:21.

Early PrelimsCatchweightUFC 323 →
MuhammadNaimov
TJ“Hillman”
13-5-0+200(32%)
Winner
17-1-0-235(68%)
BR“The Legend”
MaironSantos
MuhammadNaimov
TJ“Hillman”
13-5-0+200(32%)
Winner
17-1-0-235(68%)
BR“The Legend”
MaironSantos
Tale of the Tape:
Muhammad NaimovvsMairon Santos
13-5-0Record17-1-0
+200Odds-235
32%Win chance68%
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach72"
32Age25
Denver, Colorado, United StatesFights out ofLas Vegas, Nevada
Fight Stats:
Muhammad NaimovMairon Santos
0Knockdowns1
18 of 48 (38%)Sig. strikes27 of 45 (60%)
35 of 69Total strikes43 of 61
0 of 5 (0%)Takedowns0 of 1 (0%)
0Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
2:08Control time0:47
Sig. strikes by target
7 of 29Head11 of 27
6 of 10Body8 of 10
5 of 9Leg8 of 8
Sig. strikes by position
13 of 40Distance19 of 34
5 of 8Clinch7 of 8
0 of 0Ground1 of 3

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Muhammad Naimov+200 · 32%
Mairon Santos-235 · 68%

Mairon Santos is the -235 favorite, about a 68% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Muhammad Naimov is the +200 underdog (32%).

Recent Form Going In:

Muhammad Naimov

Record13-5
Fighting out ofDenver, Colorado, United States

Naimov: 4-1 in the last 5, 1 win by finish (2-fight win streak).

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Mairon Santos

Record17-1
Fighting out ofLas Vegas, Nevada

Santos: 5-0 in the last 5, 1 win by finish (5-fight win streak).

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UFC 323 Card: