Terrance McKinney vs. Chris Duncan

LightweightUFC 323 · Dec 6, 2025, 6:00 PM EST

Prelims

Prediction & odds

Result

Chris Duncan

def. Terrance McKinney by Submission (Anaconda choke), round 1, 2:30.

PrelimsLightweightUFC 323 →
TerranceMcKinney
US“T.Wrecks”
18-9-0+170(36%)
Winner
15-3-0-200(64%)
SC“The Problem”
ChrisDuncan
TerranceMcKinney
US“T.Wrecks”
18-9-0+170(36%)
Winner
15-3-0-200(64%)
SC“The Problem”
ChrisDuncan
Tale of the Tape:
Terrance McKinneyvsChris Duncan
18-9-0Record15-3-0
+170Odds-200
36%Win chance64%
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
32Age33
Orlando, Florida, United StatesFights out ofAlloa, Scotland
Fight Stats:
Terrance McKinneyChris Duncan
0Knockdowns1
31 of 57 (54%)Sig. strikes38 of 55 (69%)
31 of 57Total strikes53 of 75
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2 (50%)
0Sub attempts1
0Reversals0
0:00Control time1:10
Sig. strikes by target
26 of 50Head36 of 51
5 of 7Body2 of 3
0 of 0Leg0 of 1
Sig. strikes by position
24 of 45Distance10 of 20
6 of 11Clinch6 of 8
1 of 1Ground22 of 27

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Terrance McKinney+170 · 36%
Chris Duncan-200 · 64%

Chris Duncan is the -200 favorite, about a 64% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Terrance McKinney is the +170 underdog (36%).

Recent Form Going In:

Terrance McKinney

Record18-9
Fighting out ofOrlando, Florida, United States

McKinney: 4-1 in the last 5, 4 wins by finish (2-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission · R1 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraJun 2025
  • Wvs. Damir HadžovićKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2025
  • Lvs. Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightMay 2024
  • Wvs. Brendon MarotteKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightOct 2023
  • Wvs. Mike BreedenKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightAug 2023

Chris Duncan

Record15-3
Fighting out ofAlloa, Scotland

Duncan: 4-1 in the last 5, 2 wins by finish (3-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Mateusz RębeckiDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightAug 2025
  • Wvs. Jordan VucenicSubmission · R2 · UFC Fight NightMar 2025
  • Wvs. Bolaji OkiSubmission · R1 · UFC Fight NightSep 2024
  • Lvs. Manuel TorresSubmission · R1 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2024
  • Wvs. Yanal AshmouzDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightJul 2023
UFC 323 Card: