Jan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov

Light HeavyweightUFC 323 · Dec 6, 2025, 6:00 PM EST

Main Card

Prediction & odds

Result

Jan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov ended in a draw.

Main CardLight HeavyweightUFC 323 →
JanBłachowicz
PL“Legendary Polish Power”
29-12-2-133(55%)
18-4-1+113(45%)
UZ“Hitman”
BogdanGuskov
JanBłachowicz
PL“Legendary Polish Power”
29-12-2-133(55%)
18-4-1+113(45%)
UZ“Hitman”
BogdanGuskov
Tale of the Tape:
Jan BłachowiczvsBogdan Guskov
29-12-2Record18-4-1
-133Odds+113
55%Win chance45%
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
43Age33
Warsaw, PolandFights out ofRussia
Fight Stats:
Jan BłachowiczBogdan Guskov
1Knockdowns1
84 of 149 (56%)Sig. strikes80 of 140 (57%)
100 of 173Total strikes98 of 160
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
0:08Control time4:09
Sig. strikes by target
56 of 112Head69 of 127
11 of 17Body2 of 3
17 of 20Leg9 of 10
Sig. strikes by position
74 of 135Distance52 of 96
2 of 3Clinch0 of 0
8 of 11Ground28 of 44

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Jan Błachowicz-133 · 55%
Bogdan Guskov+113 · 45%

Jan Błachowicz is the -133 favorite, about a 55% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Bogdan Guskov is the +113 underdog (45%).

Recent Form Going In:

Jan Błachowicz

Record29-12-2
Fighting out ofWarsaw, Poland

Błachowicz: 1-3-1 in the last 5, 1 win by finish (2-fight losing streak).

  • Lvs. Carlos UlbergDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightMar 2025
  • Lvs. Alex PereiraDecision · R3 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2Jul 2023
  • Dvs. Magomed AnkalaevDecision · R5 · UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. AnkalaevDec 2022
  • Wvs. Aleksandar RakićKO/TKO · R3 · UFC Fight NightMay 2022
  • Lvs. Glover TeixeiraSubmission · R2 · UFC 267: Błachowicz vs. TeixeiraOct 2021

Bogdan Guskov

Record18-4-1
Fighting out ofRussia

Guskov: 4-1 in the last 5, 4 wins by finish (4-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Nikita KrylovKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightJul 2025
  • Wvs. Billy ElekanaSubmission · R2 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. MoicanoJan 2025
  • Wvs. Ryan SpannKO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight NightApr 2024
  • Wvs. Zac PaugaKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2024
  • Lvs. Volkan OezdemirSubmission · R1 · UFC Fight NightSep 2023
UFC 323 Card: