Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Sebastian Szalay

FeatherweightUFC 325 · Jan 31, 2026, 5:00 PM EST

Early Prelims

Prediction & odds

Result

Keiichiro Nakamura

def. Sebastian Szalay by TKO (Knee and punches), round 3, 3:48.

Early PrelimsFeatherweightUFC 325 →
KeiichiroNakamura
JP
8-1-0-130(54%)
Winner
10-2-0+110(46%)
AU“Seb”
SebastianSzalay
KeiichiroNakamura
JP
8-1-0-130(54%)
Winner
10-2-0+110(46%)
AU“Seb”
SebastianSzalay
Tale of the Tape:
Keiichiro NakamuravsSebastian Szalay
8-1-0Record10-2-0
-130Odds+110
54%Win chance46%
5'10"Height5'6"
71"Reach66"
27Age32
Hokkaido, JapanFights out ofPerth, Western Australia, Australia
Fight Stats:
Keiichiro NakamuraSebastian Szalay
1Knockdowns0
45 of 119 (38%)Sig. strikes79 of 204 (39%)
46 of 120Total strikes80 of 205
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1 (100%)
0Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
0:04Control time0:00
Sig. strikes by target
21 of 86Head47 of 150
11 of 18Body24 of 46
13 of 15Leg8 of 8
Sig. strikes by position
41 of 112Distance78 of 202
1 of 3Clinch1 of 1
3 of 4Ground0 of 1

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Keiichiro Nakamura-130 · 54%
Sebastian Szalay+110 · 46%

Keiichiro Nakamura is the -130 favorite, about a 54% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Sebastian Szalay is the +110 underdog (46%).

Recent Form Going In:

Keiichiro Nakamura

Record8-1
Fighting out ofHokkaido, Japan

Nakamura: 5-0 in the last 5, 4 wins by finish (5-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Kaiwen LiDecision · R3 · Road to UFCAug 2025
  • Wvs. Eoh Jin ParkKO/TKO · R2 · Road to UFCMay 2025
  • Wvs. Yusuke KagiyamaKO/TKO · R1 · POUNDOUT 1Oct 2024
  • Wvs. Shun MurataKO/TKO · R1 · Grachan 66Dec 2023
  • Wvs. Taisei OtsukiKO/TKO · R1 · Grachan 65: 15 Years AnniversaryOct 2023

Sebastian Szalay

Record10-2
Fighting out ofPerth, Western Australia, Australia

Szalay: 5-0 in the last 5, 1 win by finish (5-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Chang Min YoonKO/TKO · R1 · Road to UFCAug 2025
  • Wvs. Baergeng JieleyisiDecision · R3 · Road to UFCMay 2025
  • Wvs. Tasar MaloneDecision · R5 · Eternal MMA 92Feb 2025
  • Wvs. Dimps GilliesDecision · R5 · Eternal MMA 87Aug 2024
  • Wvs. Gabriel SchluppDecision · R3 · Eternal MMA 86Jun 2024
UFC 325 Card:
Early Prelims
  1. Kaan Ofli vs. Yi Zha›
  2. Kim Sang-wook vs. Dom Mar Fan›
  3. Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Sebastian SzalayViewing
  4. Sulang Rangbo vs. Lawrence Lui›