Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett

LightweightUFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026, 5:30 PM EST

Main Card

Prediction & odds

Result

Justin Gaethje

def. Paddy Pimblett by Decision (Unanimous), round 5, 5:00.

Interim Title FightLightweightUFC 324 →
JustinGaethje
US“The Highlight”
28-5-0+195(33%)
Winner
24-4-0-230(67%)
EN“The Baddy”
PaddyPimblett
JustinGaethje
US“The Highlight”
28-5-0+195(33%)
Winner
24-4-0-230(67%)
EN“The Baddy”
PaddyPimblett
Tale of the Tape:
Justin GaethjevsPaddy Pimblett
28-5-0Record24-4-0
+195Odds-230
33%Win chance67%
5'11"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
37Age31
Greeley, ColoradoFights out ofLiverpool, England
Fight Stats:
Justin GaethjePaddy Pimblett
2Knockdowns0
144 of 254 (57%)Sig. strikes156 of 311 (50%)
200 of 313Total strikes170 of 326
3 of 3 (100%)Takedowns0 of 5 (0%)
0Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
5:55Control time0:48
Sig. strikes by target
120 of 222Head83 of 221
15 of 21Body48 of 63
9 of 11Leg25 of 27
Sig. strikes by position
102 of 198Distance140 of 284
20 of 27Clinch16 of 27
22 of 29Ground0 of 0

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Justin Gaethje+195 · 33%
Paddy Pimblett-230 · 67%

Paddy Pimblett is the -230 favorite, about a 67% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Justin Gaethje is the +195 underdog (33%).

Recent Form Going In:

Justin Gaethje

Record28-5
Fighting out ofGreeley, Colorado

Gaethje: 3-2 in the last 5, 1 win by finish.

  • Wvs. Rafael FizievDecision · R3 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. AnkalaevMar 2025
  • Lvs. Max HollowayKO/TKO · R5 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. HillApr 2024
  • Wvs. Dustin PoirierKO/TKO · R2 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2Jul 2023
  • Wvs. Rafael FizievDecision · R3 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3Mar 2023
  • Lvs. Charles OliveiraSubmission · R1 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. GaethjeMay 2022

Paddy Pimblett

Record24-4
Fighting out ofLiverpool, England

Pimblett: 5-0 in the last 5, 3 wins by finish (5-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Michael ChandlerKO/TKO · R3 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. LopesApr 2025
  • Wvs. King GreenSubmission · R1 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2Jul 2024
  • Wvs. Tony FergusonDecision · R3 · UFC 296: Edwards vs. CovingtonDec 2023
  • Wvs. Jared GordonDecision · R3 · UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. AnkalaevDec 2022
  • Wvs. Jordan LeavittSubmission · R2 · UFC Fight NightJul 2022
UFC 324 Card: