Francisco Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim

LightweightUFC Fight Night · Oct 10, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT

Prelims

3 rounds

Prediction & odds

Result

Francisco Prado

def. Ismael Bonfim by TKO (Punches), round 1, 4:23.

PrelimsLightweight · 3 RDsUFC Fight Night →
FranciscoPrado
AR
13-5-0-130(54%)
Winner
20-8-0+111(46%)
BR“Marreta”
IsmaelBonfim
FranciscoPrado
AR
13-5-0-130(54%)
Winner
20-8-0+111(46%)
BR“Marreta”
IsmaelBonfim
Tale of the Tape:
Francisco PradovsIsmael Bonfim
13-5-0Record20-8-0
-130Odds+111
54%Win chance46%
5'10"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
24Age30
Miami, Florida, United StatesFights out ofBrasilia, Federal District, Brazil
Fight Stats:
Francisco PradoIsmael Bonfim
0Knockdowns0
25 of 51 (49%)Sig. strikes13 of 26 (50%)
34 of 61Total strikes13 of 26
2 of 2 (100%)Takedowns0 of 0
0Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
2:16Control time0:00
Sig. strikes by target
19 of 42Head7 of 20
1 of 3Body1 of 1
5 of 6Leg5 of 5
Sig. strikes by position
8 of 26Distance13 of 26
0 of 0Clinch0 of 0
17 of 25Ground0 of 0

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Francisco Prado-130 · 54%
Ismael Bonfim+111 · 46%

Francisco Prado is the -130 favorite, about a 54% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Ismael Bonfim is the +111 underdog (46%).

Recent Form Going In:

Francisco Prado

Record13-5
Fighting out ofMiami, Florida, United States

Prado: 1-4 in the last 5, 1 win by finish (4-fight losing streak).

  • Lvs. Charles RadtkeDecision · R3 · UFC 327: Procházka vs. UlbergApr 2026
  • Lvs. Nikolay VeretennikovDecision · R3 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3Jul 2025
  • Lvs. Jake MatthewsDecision · R3 · UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2Feb 2025
  • Lvs. Daniel ZellhuberDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2024
  • Wvs. Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightJul 2023

Ismael Bonfim

Record20-8
Fighting out ofBrasilia, Federal District, Brazil

Bonfim: 1-4 in the last 5 (3-fight losing streak).

  • Lvs. Axel SolaSubmission · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr.Jul 2026
  • Lvs. Chris PadillaKO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BrownNov 2025
  • Lvs. Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2025
  • Wvs. Vinc PichelDecision · R3 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. ErcegMay 2024
  • Lvs. Benoit Saint-DenisSubmission · R1 · UFC Fight NightJul 2023
UFC Fight Night Card: