Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura

BantamweightUFC Fight Night · Sep 26, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT

Prelims

3 rounds

Prediction & odds

Result

Brady Hiestand

def. Rinya Nakamura by Submission (Rear-naked choke), round 2, 4:07.

PrelimsBantamweight · 3 RDsUFC Fight Night →
BradyHiestand
US“Bam Bam”
9-2-0+309(24%)
Winner
10-2-0-385(76%)
JP“Hybrid”
RinyaNakamura
BradyHiestand
US“Bam Bam”
9-2-0+309(24%)
Winner
10-2-0-385(76%)
JP“Hybrid”
RinyaNakamura
Tale of the Tape:
Brady HiestandvsRinya Nakamura
9-2-0Record10-2-0
+309Odds-385
24%Win chance76%
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
27Age31
Spokane Valley, Washington, United StatesFights out ofJapan
Fight Stats:
Brady HiestandRinya Nakamura
0Knockdowns0
26 of 55 (47%)Sig. strikes29 of 65 (45%)
50 of 80Total strikes40 of 79
0 of 9 (0%)Takedowns1 of 6 (17%)
2Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
1:51Control time1:32
Sig. strikes by target
21 of 49Head11 of 47
4 of 4Body10 of 10
1 of 2Leg8 of 8
Sig. strikes by position
21 of 48Distance18 of 49
5 of 7Clinch11 of 16
0 of 0Ground0 of 0

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Brady Hiestand+309 · 24%
Rinya Nakamura-385 · 76%

Rinya Nakamura is the -385 favorite, about a 76% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Brady Hiestand is the +309 underdog (24%).

Recent Form Going In:

Brady Hiestand

Record9-2
Fighting out ofSpokane Valley, Washington, United States

Hiestand: 4-1 in the last 5, 3 wins by finish (3-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Garrett ArmfieldSubmission · R3 · UFC Fight NightJun 2024
  • Wvs. Batgerel DanaaKO/TKO · R3 · UFC Fight NightApr 2023
  • Wvs. Fernie GarciaDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightNov 2022
  • Lvs. Ricky TurciosDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightAug 2021
  • Wvs. Vince MurdockKO/TKO · R1 · The Ultimate Fighter Season 29May 2021

Rinya Nakamura

Record10-2
Fighting out ofJapan

Nakamura: 4-1 in the last 5, 2 wins by finish.

  • Wvs. Nathan FletcherKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightAug 2025
  • Lvs. Muin GafurovDecision · R3 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. MoicanoJan 2025
  • Wvs. Carlos VeraDecision · R3 · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. TopuriaFeb 2024
  • Wvs. Fernie GarciaDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightAug 2023
  • Wvs. Toshiomi KazamaKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2023
UFC Fight Night Card: