Rafa García vs. Alexander Hernandez

LightweightUFC Fight Night · Apr 25, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT

Main Card

Prediction & odds

Result

Rafa García

def. Alexander Hernandez by Decision (Unanimous), round 3, 5:00.

Main CardLightweightUFC Fight Night →
RafaGarcía
MX“Gifted”
19-5-0+110(46%)
Winner
19-9-0-130(54%)
US“El Gran Chango”
AlexanderHernandez
RafaGarcía
MX“Gifted”
19-5-0+110(46%)
Winner
19-9-0-130(54%)
US“El Gran Chango”
AlexanderHernandez
Tale of the Tape:
Rafa GarcíavsAlexander Hernandez
19-5-0Record19-9-0
+110Odds-130
46%Win chance54%
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach72"
32Age33
Mexicali, Baja California, MexicoFights out ofSan Antonio, Texas
Fight Stats:
Rafa GarcíaAlexander Hernandez
0Knockdowns0
59 of 169 (35%)Sig. strikes50 of 145 (34%)
79 of 194Total strikes54 of 149
4 of 7 (57%)Takedowns0 of 1 (0%)
0Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
1:50Control time0:00
Sig. strikes by target
52 of 161Head40 of 126
1 of 2Body9 of 14
6 of 6Leg1 of 5
Sig. strikes by position
57 of 165Distance50 of 145
2 of 3Clinch0 of 0
0 of 1Ground0 of 0

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Rafa García+110 · 46%
Alexander Hernandez-130 · 54%

Alexander Hernandez is the -130 favorite, about a 54% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Rafa García is the +110 underdog (46%).

Recent Form Going In:

Rafa García

Record19-5
Fighting out ofMexicali, Baja California, Mexico

García: 4-1 in the last 5, 1 win by finish (2-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Jared GordonKO/TKO · R3 · UFC Fight NightSep 2025
  • Wvs. Vinc PichelDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightMar 2025
  • Lvs. Grant DawsonKO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight NightOct 2024
  • Wvs. Clay GuidaDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightApr 2023
  • Wvs. MaheshateDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightDec 2022

Alexander Hernandez

Record19-9
Fighting out ofSan Antonio, Texas

Hernandez: 4-1 in the last 5, 2 wins by finish (4-fight win streak).

  • Wvs. Diego FerreiraKO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight NightSep 2025
  • Wvs. Chase HooperKO/TKO · R1 · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevAug 2025
  • Wvs. Kurt HolobaughDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightMar 2025
  • Wvs. Austin HubbardDecision · R3 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. RountreeOct 2024
  • Lvs. Damon JacksonDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightApr 2024
UFC Fight Night Card: