Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan

LightweightUFC Fight Night · Apr 4, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT

Main Card

Prediction & odds

Result

Renato Moicano

def. Chris Duncan by Submission (Rear-naked choke), round 2, 3:14.

Main CardLightweightUFC Fight Night →
RenatoMoicano
BR
21-8-1+155(38%)
Winner
15-3-0-180(62%)
SC“The Problem”
ChrisDuncan
RenatoMoicano
BR
21-8-1+155(38%)
Winner
15-3-0-180(62%)
SC“The Problem”
ChrisDuncan
Tale of the Tape:
Renato MoicanovsChris Duncan
21-8-1Record15-3-0
+155Odds-180
38%Win chance62%
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
37Age33
Coconut Creek, FloridaFights out ofAlloa, Scotland
Fight Stats:
Renato MoicanoChris Duncan
0Knockdowns0
21 of 36 (58%)Sig. strikes27 of 62 (44%)
62 of 84Total strikes30 of 66
1 of 4 (25%)Takedowns0 of 2 (0%)
1Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
3:16Control time0:01
Sig. strikes by target
16 of 31Head8 of 39
4 of 4Body5 of 7
1 of 1Leg14 of 16
Sig. strikes by position
20 of 34Distance25 of 60
1 of 1Clinch2 of 2
0 of 1Ground0 of 0

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Renato Moicano+155 · 38%
Chris Duncan-180 · 62%

Chris Duncan is the -180 favorite, about a 62% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Renato Moicano is the +155 underdog (38%).

Recent Form Going In:

Renato Moicano

Record21-8-1
Fighting out ofCoconut Creek, Florida

Moicano: 3-2 in the last 5, 2 wins by finish (2-fight losing streak).

Chris Duncan

Record15-3
Fighting out ofAlloa, Scotland

Duncan: 4-1 in the last 5, 3 wins by finish (4-fight win streak).

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UFC Fight Night Card: