Terrance McKinney vs. Kyle Nelson

LightweightUFC Fight Night · Mar 28, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT

Main Card

Prediction & odds

Result

Terrance McKinney

def. Kyle Nelson by TKO (Head kick and punches), round 1, 0:24.

Main CardLightweightUFC Fight Night →
TerranceMcKinney
US“T.Wrecks”
18-9-0-180(62%)
Winner
17-8-1+155(38%)
CA“The Monster”
KyleNelson
TerranceMcKinney
US“T.Wrecks”
18-9-0-180(62%)
Winner
17-8-1+155(38%)
CA“The Monster”
KyleNelson
Tale of the Tape:
18-9-0Record17-8-1
-180Odds+155
62%Win chance38%
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach71"
32Age35
Orlando, Florida, United StatesFights out ofHuntsville, Ontario, Canada
Fight Stats:
Terrance McKinneyKyle Nelson
0Knockdowns0
13 of 27 (48%)Sig. strikes1 of 3 (33%)
15 of 29Total strikes1 of 3
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Sub attempts0
0Reversals0
0:13Control time0:00
Sig. strikes by target
12 of 26Head0 of 2
1 of 1Body0 of 0
0 of 0Leg1 of 1
Sig. strikes by position
5 of 5Distance1 of 3
0 of 0Clinch0 of 0
8 of 22Ground0 of 0

Source: UFCStats

Your Pick:

Picks are closed for this fight.

What the Odds Said:
Terrance McKinney-180 · 62%
Kyle Nelson+155 · 38%

Terrance McKinney is the -180 favorite, about a 62% chance to win once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Kyle Nelson is the +155 underdog (38%).

Recent Form Going In:

Terrance McKinney

Record18-9
Fighting out ofOrlando, Florida, United States

McKinney: 3-2 in the last 5, 3 wins by finish.

  • Lvs. Chris DuncanSubmission · R1 · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2Dec 2025
  • Wvs. Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission · R1 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraJun 2025
  • Wvs. Damir HadžovićKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightFeb 2025
  • Lvs. Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightMay 2024
  • Wvs. Brendon MarotteKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightOct 2023

Kyle Nelson

Record17-8-1
Fighting out ofHuntsville, Ontario, Canada

Nelson: 4-1 in the last 5, 1 win by finish.

  • Wvs. Matt FrevolaDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightOct 2025
  • Lvs. Steve GarciaKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightSep 2024
  • Wvs. Bill AlgeoKO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight NightMar 2024
  • Wvs. Fernando PadillaDecision · R3 · UFC Fight NightSep 2023
  • Wvs. Blake BilderDecision · R3 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. AldanaJun 2023
UFC Fight Night Card: